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OBG business barometer indicates recovering economy remains oil reliant  

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Confidence levels remain high among the majority of executives interviewed for the 2018 edition of the Business Barometer: Nigeria CEO Survey carried out by Oxford Business Group (OBG), although accessing credit continues to present problems for many entrepreneurs and risks hampering the country’s efforts to diversify its economy away from a reliance on oil.

As part of its survey on the economy, the global research and consultancy firm asked 124 C-suite executives from across Nigeria’s industries a wide-ranging series of questions on a face-to-face basis aimed at gauging business sentiment.

The results are now available to view in full on OBG’s Editors’ Blog at: https://oxfordbusinessgroup.com/blog/souhir-mzali/obg-business-barometer/nigerian-growth-back-track-can-it-diversify-beyond

When asked, 85% of respondents said they had positive or very positive expectations of local business conditions for the coming 12 months, up marginally from 84% in OBG’s first survey on Nigeria, which was carried out in 2017.

However, 90% of business leaders interviewed – the same proportion as in 2017’s survey –described the ease of access to credit in the country as difficult or very difficult, indicating that borrowing remains a major hurdle for many, especially small and medium-sized enterprises, which account for around 60% of the economy.

Executives were more divided about what they felt to be the biggest challenge to doing business in Nigeria, with equal numbers (31%) citing access to capital and corruption as the main obstacles to smooth-running entrepreneurial activity.

OBG’s survey also highlighted the dominant role that oil continues to play in the economy, despite Nigeria’s diversification plans.

More than four-fifths (82%) of interviewees said they regarded a rise in oil prices as the top external event that could impact the national economy in the short to medium term, perhaps indicating that the recession of 2016, caused by the oil price shock, remains fresh in the minds of many.

However, most business leaders were upbeat about Nigeria’s immediate growth prospects. Some 69% of respondents said they expected the economy to expand by between 1% and 3% over the next 12 months, broadly in line with OBG’s forecasts and those of the IMF, which has predicted growth of 2%.

Commenting on the results in her blog, OBG’s Regional Editor for Africa, Souhir Mzali, said that while Nigeria’s economy grew by 0.8% in 2017, compared to a contraction of 1.6% in 2016, the fact remained that its recovery was driven largely by higher international oil prices and increased domestic output of the commodity.

“Nigeria’s return to positive growth in 2017 is certainly reassuring for both the domestic and international business community, and puts the economy on a surer footing,” she commented. “These improved economic fortunes have brought with them a number of positive developments. However, more remains to be done to achieve economic diversification.”

Mzali added that even though the country possesses several competitive advantages and has announced a record budget of N9.12trn ($25.2bn) for 2018 in a bid to stimulate growth, transforming the structure of its economy will be no easy task.

“Despite attempts to diversify the nation’s revenue base, the non-oil sector grew by a mere 0.8% in the first quarter of 2018, compared to the oil sector’s 14.8%,” she said.

Growth is likely to continue to be driven by oil and subject to potential price fluctuations in the near term, Mzali noted, while medium- to long-term plans to provide for a more diverse economy firm up.

Mzali’s in-depth evaluation of the survey’s results can be found on OBG’s Editor’s Blog,

titled ‘Next Frontier’. All four of OBG’s regional managing editors use the platform to share their expert analysis of the latest developments taking place across the sectors of the 30+ high-growth markets covered by the company’s research.

The OBG Business Barometer: CEO Surveys features in the Group’s extensive portfolio of research tools. The full results of the survey on Nigeria will be made available online and in print. Similar studies are also under way in the other markets in which OBG operates.

GrassRoots.ng is on a critical mission; to objectively and honestly represent the voice of ‘grassrooters’ in International, Federal, State and Local Government fora; heralding the achievements of political and other leaders and investors alike, without discrimination. This daily, digital news publication platform serves as the leading source of up-to-date information on how people and events reflect on the global community. The pragmatic articles reflect on the life of the community people, covering news/current affairs, business, technology, culture and fashion, entertainment, sports, State, National and International issues that directly impact the locals.

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Transport

CNG Price Increases to ₦450 as Market Pressures Mount

By ORJI ISRAEL

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CNG Bus

…FG Ends Subsidy Support

The federal government’s decision to remove subsidy support on Compressed Natural Gas (CNG) has triggered a sharp rise in pump prices, with motorists now paying as much as ₦450 per standard cubic metre (scm) across major cities.

For many Nigerians, the development is a fresh blow to household budgets already strained by high petrol and diesel costs.

Motorists and Transport Operators React

At a CNG refilling station in Lagos, commercial driver Ibrahim Yusuf expressed frustration:
“We switched to CNG because it was affordable after petrol subsidy was removed. Now at ₦450, it’s no longer the relief we hoped for.”

Transport unions are warning that fare adjustments may be inevitable as operators struggle with rising operating costs, a situation that could further fuel inflation in food and essential goods.

Why the Price Jumped

According to industry experts, the spike in CNG prices is driven by several key factors:

Subsidy Removal: Government’s withdrawal of support has exposed consumers to full market pricing.

Rising Distribution Costs: Inadequate infrastructure and high logistics expenses for transporting gas have pushed prices upward.

Exchange Rate Pressures: The weaker naira continues to inflate the cost of equipment and technology used in gas processing and distribution.

Growing Demand: With thousands of vehicles converting from petrol to CNG, demand has quickly outpaced supply.

Government’s Position

Officials say the subsidy removal is part of broader reforms to reduce fiscal pressure and encourage private investment in the gas value chain.

The Presidential CNG Initiative (PCNGI) has promised to accelerate the rollout of new refilling stations and conversion workshops nationwide to ease supply constraints and stabilize prices.

Energy policy analyst Dr. Amina Adediran noted:
“In the short term, consumers will feel the pinch, but if government delivers on infrastructure expansion, CNG could still become a cheaper and cleaner alternative to petrol.”

What Lies Ahead

As CNG prices climb, Nigerians brace for higher transport fares and ripple effects across the economy. Analysts warn that unless urgent investments are made in infrastructure and distribution, the government’s clean energy transition plan could lose public support.

For now, commuters and businesses must adjust to the new reality, where the promise of cheaper CNG fuel faces its toughest test yet.

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Energy

Nigeria Loses Billions to Gas Flaring: Expert Urges Adoption of Global Best Practices

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Nigeria loses billions to Gas Flaring

Nigeria continues to grapple with the economic, environmental, and social costs of gas flaring despite its status as one of Africa’s top producers of natural gas.

Recent data reveals that in 2024 alone, the country flared natural gas valued at $1.05 billion, equivalent to electricity generation potential of 30.1 thousand GigaWatt hours, enough to drastically reduce the nation’s chronic power shortages.

The penalties associated with gas flaring, estimated at $602 million, remain largely unenforced, raising concerns about regulatory weakness and ineffective oversight.

The Nigerian government has introduced several policies, including the Petroleum Industry Act (PIA) and the Gas Flaring, Venting & Methane Emissions (Prevention of Waste and Pollution) Regulations, 2023, aimed at tackling this menace. Additionally, the Nigerian Gas Flare Commercialization Project (NGFCP) was launched as a market-based solution to allocate flared gas to third-party investors for industrial and power sector use. Yet, implementation challenges have stifled progress.

In an exclusive commentary on the issue, Dr. Saheed Abudu, a researcher and lawyer specializing in Energy and Natural Resources Law and International Investment Law, and former researcher at the Tulane Center for Energy Law, described gas flaring as a symptom of Nigeria’s regulatory inertia. “If Nigeria is to truly end this wasteful practice, it must look beyond its borders and learn from the successful blueprints of other oil and gas powerhouses. The framework of the NGFCP is theoretically sound, but without strong enforcement and political determination, it risks becoming another unfulfilled policy,” Dr. Abudu said.

He noted that the persistent lack of political will, overreliance on International Oil Companies (IOCs), and repeated shifting of flare-out deadlines undermine Nigeria’s credibility. “The continuous revisions of flare-out deadlines—from 2025 now extended to 2030—together with the reluctance of producers to pay fines, underscore a regulatory environment that has failed to hold operators accountable. These delays communicate that compliance is optional,” he emphasized.

Dr. Abudu further highlighted deep-rooted institutional problems. “Significant bottlenecks persist, including administrative delays, overlapping regulatory mandates, and above all, resistance from producers who see flare gas utilization as disruptive to their core oil operations. Inadequate infrastructure for gas gathering and distribution compounds the problem, making many flare sites commercially unviable without massive upfront investments,” he explained.

Drawing comparisons with other resource-rich nations, Dr. Abudu argued that Nigeria must adopt proven strategies. He explained that Norway adopted a top-down approach where no gas utilization plan meant no project approval, and combined this with a stringent carbon tax that forced companies to innovate and invest in capture technologies. Saudi Arabia, through its state-owned oil giant Saudi Aramco, pursued a national strategy that treated gas as a resource, not waste. With a master gas gathering plan and billions invested in infrastructure, flaring was phased out, reflecting the level of corporate-level commitment Nigeria has lacked. Angola, he added, offers the most relevant case for Nigeria. After decades of flaring, Angola rolled out its National Gas Master Plan, partnered with international investors, and, with World Bank support, built the infrastructure needed to monetize gas. Their progress, he said, proves that resource stewardship is possible with political will and foreign partnerships.

Dr. Abudu outlined a roadmap Nigeria could adopt to reverse its losses and position itself as a competitive gas economy. “Nigeria must transition to stricter enforcement of regulations, making flare penalties genuinely punitive rather than symbolic. No new oil project should proceed without a credible gas utilization plan. The government must also act as a catalyst, as Angola did, by incentivizing investment in gas infrastructure and ensuring that producers cannot simply evade their obligations,” he stressed.

He added that empowering third-party investors to participate in gas commercialization is key, but this requires deliberate policies to strengthen the domestic gas market. “The government must make the Nigerian gas market more competitive and attractive for investors. Incentives, security of investments, and legal certainty are crucial. Without these, potential investors will continue to shy away, leaving the problem unresolved,” he said.

Experts agree that ending gas flaring is not just about environmental sustainability but also about unlocking economic potential. If properly harnessed, flared gas could power industries, create jobs, and generate billions in revenue. Dr. Abudu concluded with a stark warning: “The flames burning across the Niger Delta are not merely an environmental hazard; they represent wasted economic opportunities and human development potential. Nigeria cannot afford to treat gas flaring as business as usual. It must move from rhetoric to decisive action.”

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Transport

We Are Saddened by the Passing of Ruth Otabor – Dangote

Ruth was hit by a Dangote Cement truck on August 13, 205 close to her school, Auchi Polytechnic.

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dangote trucks

The management of Dangote Cement Plc has said that it is saddened by the passing this evening of Ruth Otabor, who was injured in a recent road incident involving one of its trucks in Auchi, Edo State.

Ruth was hit by a Dangote Cement truck on August 13, 205 close to her school, Auchi Polytechnic.

In a statement issued this evening in Lagos, the management of Dangote Cement said “on behalf of the entire Dangote Group, we extend our heartfelt condolences to her family, friends and loved ones at this difficult time”.

Throwing some light on what the company has been doing to save the life of Ruth, the management said that “since the accident, our officials and insurance partners have been by her side, covering all financial and medical costs and supporting her family”.

It disclosed that arrangement had been made for her to be flown to India for advanced treatment pending medical clearance by her doctors, but regretted that “despite these efforts and Ruth’s brave fight to live, we lost her today”.

The management said: “At Dangote Group, safety, accountability, and compassion remain at the core of our operations”, adding that “we remain committed to strengthening our safety systems and supporting those affected in moment of tragedy”.

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