GRBusiness
China and South Africa attract the negative spotlight of global markets


. What this implies
Jameel Ahmad, Global Head of Currency Strategy & Market Research at FXTM, comments on the start of the new trading week.
It’s been an interesting start to the new trading week with a number of different markets across the globe suffering weakness.
Headlines range from Chinese stocks getting slammed lower as trading resumed from a week-long holiday, the Euro retreating on the news that the European Commission has expressed concerns about the Italian budget deficit, and the South African Rand declining as much as 1% on reports that South African Finance Minister Nhlanhla Nene has asked President Cyril Ramaphosa to release him from his position.
Other risks include the Oil markets behaving sensitively to the headlines that the United States might grant some waivers to Iranian Oil sanctions and attention remaining on Brazil following the first round of the Brazilian election.
Let’s also not forget that a number of emerging market currencies across the APAC region resumed their position of pointing lower to begin the new week, while these same currencies might also face risks from developments that the Chinese Yuan has fallen to its lowest level against the Dollar in nearly two months.
All in all the early part of Monday has already showed that the combination of different themes and financial risks for markets could mean that this week is a nervous one for traders.
The largest takeaway due to its standing as the second largest economy in the world will be the movements in Chinese markets today. The latest round of selling in China can’t be dismissed and has resulted in Chinese stocks suffering their worst start to October in a decade.
While some of today’s losses in China can be attributed to the market playing “catch-up” to being absent from trading due to a week-long public holiday last week, it can’t be understated that Chinese markets as a whole are under tremendous pressure.
The Shanghai Composite Index has lost 23.28% year-to-date at time of writing, which is double the losses seen in the German DAX during the same period at 11.15%.
Away from the brutal headlines that the Shanghai Composite Index lost 3.7% on Monday, the implications that this has on other equity markets across the globe will be what traders are watching next. We have seen a trend in the past where weakness in China has resonated on other global markets, and we did encounter selling throughout the Asian region to begin the week.
The trend of weakness in China has come in spite of the PBoC cutting the RRR requirement for the fourth time in 2018 over the weekend. I wouldn’t say that the latest monetary policy action from the PBoC is the reason behind the selling in China, but it has opened up suggestions that policymakers might be concerned over signs of slowing momentum for the Chinese economy.
These concerns can also be seen in the offshore Chinese Yuan, with the USDCNH advancing above 6.90 for the first time in nearly two months.
If the Yuan continues to ease from this point, it does paint a picture of more possible pain for emerging markets across the globe this week.
The initial selling reaction in the South African Rand on reports that its Finance Minister has asked to be sacked will encourage investor caution that South Africa could be in store for another round of political risk.
Of course, South Africa is no stranger to political headlines but the initial concern could be that the reaction to the Rand to a possible replacement of its finance minister could be similar to what sparked a severe sell-off back in March 2017.
When you consider that the removal of respected Finance Minister Pravin Gordhan all the way back in March 2017 was part of a wider cabinet reshuffle of the unpopular ex-President Jacob Zuma you can’t really compare the news of then and today so closely. I would instead monitor to see how this report develops before becoming concerned that another Rand slump could be upon us due to internal political risk.
The South African economic calendar for this week is mostly thin in volume when it comes to tier-one releases until Manufacturing Production numbers on Thursday, where economists will be closely looking for signs that the economy could exit its first technical recession since 2009.
Away from political developments, I would look to see if the Rand reacts to any global uncertainties, specifically the sharp sell-off in Chinese markets and whether this spreads into other emerging markets.


…FG Ends Subsidy Support
The federal government’s decision to remove subsidy support on Compressed Natural Gas (CNG) has triggered a sharp rise in pump prices, with motorists now paying as much as ₦450 per standard cubic metre (scm) across major cities.
For many Nigerians, the development is a fresh blow to household budgets already strained by high petrol and diesel costs.
Motorists and Transport Operators React
At a CNG refilling station in Lagos, commercial driver Ibrahim Yusuf expressed frustration:
“We switched to CNG because it was affordable after petrol subsidy was removed. Now at ₦450, it’s no longer the relief we hoped for.”
Transport unions are warning that fare adjustments may be inevitable as operators struggle with rising operating costs, a situation that could further fuel inflation in food and essential goods.
Why the Price Jumped
According to industry experts, the spike in CNG prices is driven by several key factors:
Subsidy Removal: Government’s withdrawal of support has exposed consumers to full market pricing.
Rising Distribution Costs: Inadequate infrastructure and high logistics expenses for transporting gas have pushed prices upward.
Exchange Rate Pressures: The weaker naira continues to inflate the cost of equipment and technology used in gas processing and distribution.
Growing Demand: With thousands of vehicles converting from petrol to CNG, demand has quickly outpaced supply.
Government’s Position
Officials say the subsidy removal is part of broader reforms to reduce fiscal pressure and encourage private investment in the gas value chain.
The Presidential CNG Initiative (PCNGI) has promised to accelerate the rollout of new refilling stations and conversion workshops nationwide to ease supply constraints and stabilize prices.
Energy policy analyst Dr. Amina Adediran noted:
“In the short term, consumers will feel the pinch, but if government delivers on infrastructure expansion, CNG could still become a cheaper and cleaner alternative to petrol.”
What Lies Ahead
As CNG prices climb, Nigerians brace for higher transport fares and ripple effects across the economy. Analysts warn that unless urgent investments are made in infrastructure and distribution, the government’s clean energy transition plan could lose public support.
For now, commuters and businesses must adjust to the new reality, where the promise of cheaper CNG fuel faces its toughest test yet.
Energy
Nigeria Loses Billions to Gas Flaring: Expert Urges Adoption of Global Best Practices


Nigeria continues to grapple with the economic, environmental, and social costs of gas flaring despite its status as one of Africa’s top producers of natural gas.
Recent data reveals that in 2024 alone, the country flared natural gas valued at $1.05 billion, equivalent to electricity generation potential of 30.1 thousand GigaWatt hours, enough to drastically reduce the nation’s chronic power shortages.
The penalties associated with gas flaring, estimated at $602 million, remain largely unenforced, raising concerns about regulatory weakness and ineffective oversight.
The Nigerian government has introduced several policies, including the Petroleum Industry Act (PIA) and the Gas Flaring, Venting & Methane Emissions (Prevention of Waste and Pollution) Regulations, 2023, aimed at tackling this menace. Additionally, the Nigerian Gas Flare Commercialization Project (NGFCP) was launched as a market-based solution to allocate flared gas to third-party investors for industrial and power sector use. Yet, implementation challenges have stifled progress.
In an exclusive commentary on the issue, Dr. Saheed Abudu, a researcher and lawyer specializing in Energy and Natural Resources Law and International Investment Law, and former researcher at the Tulane Center for Energy Law, described gas flaring as a symptom of Nigeria’s regulatory inertia. “If Nigeria is to truly end this wasteful practice, it must look beyond its borders and learn from the successful blueprints of other oil and gas powerhouses. The framework of the NGFCP is theoretically sound, but without strong enforcement and political determination, it risks becoming another unfulfilled policy,” Dr. Abudu said.
He noted that the persistent lack of political will, overreliance on International Oil Companies (IOCs), and repeated shifting of flare-out deadlines undermine Nigeria’s credibility. “The continuous revisions of flare-out deadlines—from 2025 now extended to 2030—together with the reluctance of producers to pay fines, underscore a regulatory environment that has failed to hold operators accountable. These delays communicate that compliance is optional,” he emphasized.
Dr. Abudu further highlighted deep-rooted institutional problems. “Significant bottlenecks persist, including administrative delays, overlapping regulatory mandates, and above all, resistance from producers who see flare gas utilization as disruptive to their core oil operations. Inadequate infrastructure for gas gathering and distribution compounds the problem, making many flare sites commercially unviable without massive upfront investments,” he explained.
Drawing comparisons with other resource-rich nations, Dr. Abudu argued that Nigeria must adopt proven strategies. He explained that Norway adopted a top-down approach where no gas utilization plan meant no project approval, and combined this with a stringent carbon tax that forced companies to innovate and invest in capture technologies. Saudi Arabia, through its state-owned oil giant Saudi Aramco, pursued a national strategy that treated gas as a resource, not waste. With a master gas gathering plan and billions invested in infrastructure, flaring was phased out, reflecting the level of corporate-level commitment Nigeria has lacked. Angola, he added, offers the most relevant case for Nigeria. After decades of flaring, Angola rolled out its National Gas Master Plan, partnered with international investors, and, with World Bank support, built the infrastructure needed to monetize gas. Their progress, he said, proves that resource stewardship is possible with political will and foreign partnerships.
Dr. Abudu outlined a roadmap Nigeria could adopt to reverse its losses and position itself as a competitive gas economy. “Nigeria must transition to stricter enforcement of regulations, making flare penalties genuinely punitive rather than symbolic. No new oil project should proceed without a credible gas utilization plan. The government must also act as a catalyst, as Angola did, by incentivizing investment in gas infrastructure and ensuring that producers cannot simply evade their obligations,” he stressed.
He added that empowering third-party investors to participate in gas commercialization is key, but this requires deliberate policies to strengthen the domestic gas market. “The government must make the Nigerian gas market more competitive and attractive for investors. Incentives, security of investments, and legal certainty are crucial. Without these, potential investors will continue to shy away, leaving the problem unresolved,” he said.
Experts agree that ending gas flaring is not just about environmental sustainability but also about unlocking economic potential. If properly harnessed, flared gas could power industries, create jobs, and generate billions in revenue. Dr. Abudu concluded with a stark warning: “The flames burning across the Niger Delta are not merely an environmental hazard; they represent wasted economic opportunities and human development potential. Nigeria cannot afford to treat gas flaring as business as usual. It must move from rhetoric to decisive action.”
Transport
We Are Saddened by the Passing of Ruth Otabor – Dangote
Ruth was hit by a Dangote Cement truck on August 13, 205 close to her school, Auchi Polytechnic.


The management of Dangote Cement Plc has said that it is saddened by the passing this evening of Ruth Otabor, who was injured in a recent road incident involving one of its trucks in Auchi, Edo State.
Ruth was hit by a Dangote Cement truck on August 13, 205 close to her school, Auchi Polytechnic.
In a statement issued this evening in Lagos, the management of Dangote Cement said “on behalf of the entire Dangote Group, we extend our heartfelt condolences to her family, friends and loved ones at this difficult time”.
Throwing some light on what the company has been doing to save the life of Ruth, the management said that “since the accident, our officials and insurance partners have been by her side, covering all financial and medical costs and supporting her family”.
It disclosed that arrangement had been made for her to be flown to India for advanced treatment pending medical clearance by her doctors, but regretted that “despite these efforts and Ruth’s brave fight to live, we lost her today”.
The management said: “At Dangote Group, safety, accountability, and compassion remain at the core of our operations”, adding that “we remain committed to strengthening our safety systems and supporting those affected in moment of tragedy”.
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