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How Atiku will beat Buhari, others and win the 2019 presidential election, By Prof. Echefuna R. G. Onyebeadi

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As Nigerians and indeed the world eagerly await the February 16, 2019 presidential election with about 70 political parties participating, many people have come to believe that the actual contest is between the incumbent President, Major-General Muhammadu Buhari of the APC and the Presidential Candidate of PDP, Alhaji Atiku Abubakar.

The outcome of a recent nationwide survey we carried out in the 36 states and the FCT on the prospects of the Presidential Candidates reveals that, the Presidential Candidate of PDP, Alhaji Atiku Abubakar will emerge winner of the presidential election, if the election were to hold today.

The survey further reveals that although Muhammadu Buhari is likely to garner more votes in the North, particularly in the Northwest, Alhaji Atiku Abubakar will emerge the overall winner of the presidential election.

The survey results also indicate that national aggregate margin of the Winning Votes for Alhaji Atiku Abubakar is projected to be just about 6.32% of the total votes cast.

Barring any major upsets and/or manipulations, Alhaji Atiku Abubakar is expected to win the presidential election with a margin of at least 2,971,133 votes. This obviously looks too close for comfort!

There are 17 essential registered voters hubs identified across the country out of which, the top five in particular are critical to the eventual outcome of the presidential election. So, how the political parties and their candidates are able to harvest the votes in these identified places shall to a large extent influence the overall results of the forthcoming presidential election.

The aforementioned therefore, clearly underscores the need for greater work in critical catchment areas, vigilance and to ensure that the votes cast during the elections really count.

Stated below is how the candidates stand in the Geopolitical Zones and States including the FCT.

[A/B = close to call with Atiku leading;

 B/A = close to call with Buhari leading.]

NORTH:                

1. North Central ……… Atiku

2. North East ………….. A/B

3. North West …………. Buhari

SOUTH:

1. South South ………… Atiku

2. South East……………. Atiku

3. South West…………… B/A

The present rating of the candidates in the 36 states and the FCT is as follows:

1. NORTH CENTRAL [6 states and FCT]:

    Benue           –    Atiku

    Kogi              –    A/B

    Kwara           –    Atiku

    Nasarawa    –    A/B

    Niger             –    Atiku

    Plateau         –    Atiku

    FCT               –    B/A

2. NORTH EAST [6 states]:

    Adamawa           –     Atiku

    Bauchi                 –     Buhari

    Borno                   –     Buhari

    Gombe                 –     Atiku

    Taraba                 –     Atiku

    Yobe                    –     Buhari

3. NORTH WEST [7 States]:

    Jigawa                 –    Atiku

    Kaduna                –    Buhari

    Kano                     –    B/A

    Katsina                 –    Buhari

    Kebbi                    –     Buhari

    Sokoto                  –     Atiku

    Zamfara               –     Atiku

4. SOUTH SOUTH [6 states]:

    Akwa-Ibom         –     Atiku

    Bayelsa                –    Atiku

    Cross River         –    Atiku

    Delta                     –    Atiku

    Edo                       –    B/A

    Rivers                   –    Atiku

5. SOUTH EAST [5 States]:

    Abia                        –    Atiku

    Anambra               –    Atiku

    Ebonyi                   –    Atiku

    Enugu                    –    Atiku

     Imo                         –    Atiku

6.  SOUTH WEST [6 states]:

     Ekiti                          –     B/A

     Lagos                       –     Buhari

     Ogun                         –    Atiku

     Ondo                         –    Atiku

     Osun                         –    A/B

     Oyo                            –    Buhari

It is however instructive to note that the survey under reference was carried out exclusively for the presidential election only.

•Echefuna ’Rotimi ONYEBEADI [DBA;PhDs; etc] writes from Abuja.

GrassRoots.ng is on a critical mission; to objectively and honestly represent the voice of ‘grassrooters’ in International, Federal, State and Local Government fora; heralding the achievements of political and other leaders and investors alike, without discrimination. This daily, digital news publication platform serves as the leading source of up-to-date information on how people and events reflect on the global community. The pragmatic articles reflect on the life of the community people, covering news/current affairs, business, technology, culture and fashion, entertainment, sports, State, National and International issues that directly impact the locals.

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GRPolitics

Minister Commends Guards Brigade for Exceptional Service in Securing the Seat of Government

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Minister of State for Defence, H.E. Dr. Bello Mohammed Matawalle,
Minister of State for Defence, H.E. Dr. Bello Mohammed Matawalle at WASA 2024

The Minister of State for Defence, H.E. Dr. Bello Mohammed Matawalle, has expressed profound appreciation for the unwavering commitment and exemplary efforts of the Commander, officers, and personnel of the Guards Brigade in safeguarding the Federal Capital Territory and its environs.

In his remarks as the Special Guest of Honour at the 2024 West African Social Activity (WASA 2024) held in Abuja, the Minister stated, “Your loyalty, sacrifice, and dedication in executing your Presidential security duties, coordinating ceremonial parades, and managing operational challenges are commendable. Your proactive approach in addressing security threats has ensured the safety of the Presidency as well as that of citizens, visitors, and diplomats alike. I urge you to continue embodying compassion and empathy in your operations, striving for excellence in all your responsibilities.”

The Minister highlighted that the WASA event serves as a vibrant testament to the rich cultural heritage of Nigeria, as showcased by the personnel and families of the Guards Brigade. “The traditional dances and local delicacies on display tonight not only enhance our appreciation of our diverse cultures but also play a crucial role in preserving our cultural heritage and distinct identity,” he added.

In conclusion, the Minister called upon the Guards Brigade to uphold the trust placed in them by consistently meeting the challenges of their duties and ensuring that the flag of the Nigerian Armed Forces continues to fly high.

Earlier, Major General Adebisi Onosayan, Commander of the Guards Brigade, delivered a welcome address expressing gratitude to the President for his unwavering support of the Brigade’s operations, training, and welfare. “Thank you, Your Excellency. I also wish to extend my sincere appreciation to the Chief of Defence Staff and the Chief of Army Staff for their relentless guidance and support. We pledge our unwavering loyalty and readiness to contribute effectively to the security of lives and property in the Federal Capital Territory and its surroundings,” he emphasized.

General Onosayan further noted that the 2024 WASA highlights the social diversity, cultural identity, values, beliefs, and rich heritage of the Nigerian people, resonating with the ethos of the Nigerian Army. “This event provides an opportunity to showcase various cultural dances, traditional cuisines, languages, attire, and ethnic groups of our great nation in a relaxed atmosphere,” he stated, adding that today’s event marks the Brigade’s Grand Finale.

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Matawalle Commends President Tinubu for Positive Economic Reforms

…Matawalle urges critics to be positive in their narratives

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matawalle and Tinubu
R-l: President Bola Tinubu and Minister of State for Defence, Dr. Bello Muhammad Matawalle

The Honourable Minister of State for Defence, Dr. Bello Muhammad Matawalle, has praised President Bola Ahmed Tinubu for his robust economic policies and reforms, which are yielding significant positive results for the nation. According to Matawalle, these initiatives are contributing to a turnaround in the economy that will benefits all Nigerians.

In the light of ongoing criticism, particularly from some quarters in Northern Nigeria, according to a statement by Henshaw Ogubike, director information & PR at the Ministry, Matawalle urged critics to be positive in their narratives and called on citizens to remain steadfast in their support for the President and to reject divisive narratives.

“It is crucial for Nigerians to stand united behind Mr. President, who is diligently working hard to revitalize our economy through a series of effective policies, programs, and reforms,” he stated.

Matawalle specifically highlighted President Tinubu’s tax reforms as a pivotal element in the country’s economic turnaround. He explained that these reforms are designed to create a more equitable tax system, which will enhance revenue generation for the government while easing the financial burden on ordinary citizens and small businesses.

“By broadening the tax base and ensuring that everyone pays their fair share, President Tinubu is laying the groundwork for sustainable economic growth. These reforms will not only increase government revenues but also stimulate investment and job creation across various sectors,” Matawalle elaborated.

He further noted that the tax reforms aim to simplify the tax administration process, making it easier for individuals and businesses to comply. This will foster a more business-friendly environment, encouraging entrepreneurship and innovation, which are essential for driving economic progress.

Matawalle also highlighted several key achievements across various sectors, particularly noting improvements in national security. He emphasized that President Tinubu has made substantial strides in enhancing the capabilities of the Nigerian military through the provision of modern hardware and equipment. Additionally, he assured that military personnel have received timely payment of their allowances and salary increases, which has significantly boosted their morale.

“Under President Tinubu’s leadership, we are witnessing a renewed commitment to the safety and well-being of all Nigerians, and I encourage everyone to recognize the positive changes taking place,” Matawalle concluded.

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Matawalle: Our Success Story is Huge

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Mohammed Bello Matawalle
Dr Mohammed Bello Matawalle in a photograph with the visitors

The Honourable Minister of State Dr. Mohammed Bello Matawalle has disclosed that the Nigerian Armed Forces have achieved a lot in the fight against insurgency, banditry and other groups that are enemies of the Nigerian State since the advent of this administration but a lot of these success stories are not in the public space due to security reasons so as not to expose the gallant men and women of the Armed Forces who are in the forefront of this fight to danger.

According to a statement by Henshaw Ogubike, director, information and Public Relations at the Ministry, Dr. Matawalle disclosed this during the engagement with the Special Assistant to President on Policy and Coordination/Head of Central Result Delivery Coordination Unit (CRDCU) Hadiza  Bala Usman with the Ministry of Defence  when she presented the 1st – 3rd Quarters 2024 Performance Assessment Report on Implementation of Presidential Priorities and Ministerial Deliverable at the Ship House, Abuja.

The Minister also informed the SA to Mr. President that before now, the Nigerian airwaves was always full of news of oil theft, bunkering, piracy and all forms of kidnapping. 

But since they assumed office, the country has recorded low occurrence and reduced reports of those activities just as he assured Nigerians of their resolve to do more to make our society safe for all.

Matawalle assured Hadiza Bala Usman of early submission of achievement data to her office for their  reviews.

In a similar development, the SA to President advised the Ministry of Defence to put out more data into the public space to avoid doubts and negative feedbacks on the successes achieved by our Armed Forces in the fight against insecurity. 

Adding that, regional tour of the troubled areas could be conducted to carry out on-the-spot interviews and first hand assessment of rescued individuals whose response will serve as raw and real data to the populace and as evidence that government is not resting on its oars.

Speaking further during the review of the Q1 – Q3 Report, the Permanent Secretary Ministry of Defence, Dr. Ibrahim Abubakar Kana mni gave a detailed submission on the achievements of the Ministry and promised that the Ministry will do more to surpass previous quarter’s report as he poured encomium on the Chief of Defence Staff and all Service Chiefs for their consistency and tireless efforts in making Nigeria a peaceful and safe place.

Dr. Kana tasked the Directors of the Ministry not to relax in their quest to give their best to the service of our dear country.

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