GRBusiness
GDP grows by 1.95% in Q1, non-oil sector accounts for 90.3%- NBS
Though the nation’s Gross Domestic Product (GDP) grew by 1.95 per cent (year-on-year) in real terms in the first quarter of 2018, financial analysts have advocated easing of monetary policy for sustainability.
Data released by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS), yesterday, showed a stronger growth when compared with the first quarter of 2017, which recorded a growth of -0.91 per cent, indicating an increase of 2.87 per cent points.
Compared to the preceding quarter, there was a decline of -0.16 per cent points from 2.11 per cent. Quarter on quarter, real GDP growth was -13.40 per cent.
Real growth of the oil sector was 14.77 per cent (year-on-year) in Q1 2018. This represents an increase of 30.37 per cent points, relative to rate recorded in the corresponding quarter of 2017, while the non-oil sector grew by 0.76 per cent in real terms during the period under review.
The non-oil sector was driven mainly by agriculture (crop production); other drivers were financial institutions and insurance, manufacturing, transportation and storage, information and communication.
In real terms, the non-oil sector contributed 90.39 per cent to the nation’s GDP, lower than 91.47 per cent recorded in the first quarter of 2017 and 92.65 per cent recorded in the fourth quarter of 2017.
According to the NBS, aggregate GDP for the first quarter stood at N28.4 trillion in nominal terms.
“This performance is higher when compared to the first quarter of 2017, which recorded a nominal GDP aggregate of N26.028 trillion, thus presenting a positive year-on-year nominal growth rate of 9.36 per cent. This rate of growth is however lower, relative to growth recorded in Q1 2017 by -7.70 per cent points at 17.06 per cent, but higher than the preceeding quarter by 2.14 per cent points at 7.22 per cent.”
Speaking on the data, the Chief Executive of Financial Derivatives Company Limited, Bismarck Rewane, said the growth notwithstanding, the economy needs stimulus from the budget that was recently passed, and low interest rate to aid the numbers.
He noted that the growth recorded was driven by the services sector, and that interest rate sensitive sectors, like manufacturing and agriculture, need to be complemented with monetary policies.He warned that it could take longer for the economy to recover if the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) retains key monetary policy rates, and called for a stimulus.
“The CBN is not in charge of fiscal policy. There is need to maintain price stability. The problem in the country has to do with unemployment, among others, even as growth slowed down in the critical sectors. The sectors that will deal with unemployment need to be stimulated. Vulnerability to shocks needs to be addressed,” he said.He added: “Issues that affect the everyday man need to be addressed. Election is not an issue if unemployment is reduced, as it would reduce dysfunctional behaviours in the society.”
For the Lagos Chamber of Commerce and Industry (LCCI), monetary policies should address access to funds and cost of funds for many domestic investors.According to the President, Babatunde Ruwase, “With commercial banks’ lending rate at between 20-35 per cent, depending on the borrower and other factors such as acceptability of collateral, it is very difficult for the private sector to successfully access fund, especially the SMEs.
“Investors in many sectors cannot finance projects profitably at an interest rate above 10 per cent. These sectors are majorly agriculture, real estate, solid minerals.”
Considering that yields on fixed income securities in the country have declined sharply in the last few months, despite the CBN retaining the Monetary Policy Rates, an Investment Analyst with Afrinvest, Omotola Abimbola, said there is need for deeper commitment by the Federal Government in implementing key fiscal policies.
Compared to the GDP figures in Q4 2017, Abimbola said the Q1 figures reflect a disappointing figure, as consumer confidence remains low.“For the equities market, a lesser than expected growth may have a negative sentiment on the market. However, foreign investor portfolio would help to address that sentiment. While it is appropriate to cut down on interest rates at this time, we expect the Monetary Policy Committee to retain rates at their meeting. The trigger for rates cut will be Foreign Direct Investments driving inflow in key sectors of the economy rather than in short term instruments,” said Abimbola.
Environmental Economist with the Federal University of Agriculture, Abeokuta (FUNAAB), Prof. Bola Okuneye, noted: “The increase in budgetary allocation is commendable, but the issue is if it will be retained. If under-spending is also addressed, the GDP contribution will increase. However, with the budget only recently passed, how much impact should we expect from it?
“Interventions in agriculture need to increase. The implementation of government policies is weak and people are not being encouraged. There are other policies that weaken the good policies that government initiates for the sector. We need more farms and also need to bring more people into the sector.”
Meanwhile, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) has advised Nigeria to increase its revenue to service its debt profile.The Senior Resident Representative and Mission Chief for Nigeria, African Department, IMF, Amine Mati, gave the advice, yesterday, at the public presentation of the Spring 2018 issue of the Sub-Saharan Africa Regional Economic Outlook (REO) in Lagos. (Source: Guardian.ng)
GRBusiness
45th Int’l Trade Fair in Kano: Badaru Urges Support for Nigerian Military for Peace, Security
…Stresses that peace is essential for national development
The Honourable Minister of Defence, H.E. Mohammed Badaru Abubakar, has called for robust support for the Nigerian Military in its ongoing efforts to combat insecurity, emphasizing that peace is a cornerstone of national development.
Speaking at the opening ceremony of the 45th International Trade Fair organized by the Kano Chamber of Commerce, Industry, Mines, and Agriculture (KACCIMA), the Minister highlighted that an improving security situation in the country will pave the way for enhanced economic prosperity. He reaffirmed President Bola Ahmed Tinubu’s commitment to restoring peace and stability and urged Nigerians to continue supporting the government with prayers while maintaining confidence in the security forces, whose unwavering dedication is crucial to sustaining these achievements.
As a former National President and now Lifetime National Vice President of the Nigerian Association of Chambers of Commerce, Industry, Mines, and Agriculture (NACCIMA), Minister Badaru’s participation underscores his strong ties to the business community and his commitment to promoting economic development in Nigeria. His longstanding relationship with KACCIMA further emphasizes his dedication to advancing trade and industry within the region.
The trade fair attracted numerous dignitaries, including representatives from the Office of the Vice President of Nigeria and the Governor of Kano State, as well as prominent business leaders from both Nigeria and abroad. This event serves as a vital platform for fostering economic cooperation and investment, with a particular focus on diversifying Nigeria’s economy through non-oil exports.
Minister Badaru commended KACCIMA for its dedication to organizing this annual trade fair and reiterated that such initiatives are essential for strengthening Nigeria’s economy. He emphasized the critical role of non-oil exports in achieving the nation’s diversification goals and called on all stakeholders to collaborate in harnessing Nigeria’s vast export potential.
Minister Badaru’s presence at the trade fair highlights its significance as a key driver for economic growth, innovation, and international business connections, positioning Kano as a central hub for commerce and industry in Nigeria.
…OML 13 Asset Eyes 80,000 bpd by End of 2025
In a major boost for Nigeria’s crude oil production, revenue generation and economic growth efforts, the NNPC Ltd has officially unveiled its latest crude oil grade, the Utapate crude oil blend, before the international crude oil market.
It would be recalled that in July, 2024, NNPC Ltd and its partner, the Sterling Oil Exploration & Energy Production Company (SEEPCO) Ltd introduced the Utapate crude oil blend, following the lifting of first cargo of 950,000 barrels which headed for Spain.
During a ceremony held at the Argus European Crude Conference taking place in London, United Kingdom, on Wednesday, the Managing Director, NNPC E & P Limited (NEPL), Mr. Nicholas Foucart described the introduction of the Utapate crude oil blend into the market as a significant milestone for Nigeria’s crude oil export to the global energy market.
“Since we started producing the Utapate Field in May 2024, we have rapidly ramped up production to 40,000 barrels per day (bpd) with minimum downtime. So far, we have exported five cargoes, largely to Spain and the East Coast of the United States; while two more additional cargoes have been secured for November and December 2024, representing a significant boost to Nigeria’s crude oil export to the global market,” Foucart told a packed audience of European crude oil marketers.
He added that since its introduction into the global market, the Utapate crude oil blend has enjoyed a positive response from the international crude oil market, due to its highly attractive qualities.
Foucart said the Oil Mining Lease (OML) 13, fully operated by NEPL and Natural Oilfield Services Ltd (NOSL), a subsidiary of SEEPCO Ltd, boasts a huge reserves of 330million barrels of crude oil reserves, 45 million barrels of condensate and 3.5 tcf of gas.
“We have a number of ongoing projects to increase our production from the current 40,000bopd to 50,000bopd by January 2025 and 60,000bopd to 65,000bopd by June 2025. Essentially, we are targeting opportunities to increase production to 80,000bopd by the end of 2025,” Foucart added.
He said the Utapate crude oil terminal is sustainable, affordable and fully compliant with the rigorous environmental regulations and sustainability principles especially those aimed at reducing carbon emissions and other ecological effects.
Also speaking, the Managing Director of NNPC Trading Ltd (NTL), Mr. Lawal Sade said the pricing structure of the Utapate crude oil blend is similar to that of Amenam crude as it is a light sweet crude which is highly sought after by refiners across the world due to its low sulphur content, efficient yield of high-value products, API gravity and other similarities.
He said in bringing the new crude oil blend to the global market, NNPC Ltd wanted to optimise value for both its producers and counterparties across the globe.
He added to ensure predictability and sustainability of supply, the NNPC Trading intends to run a term contract on the Utapate crude oil blend cargoes, principally targeting off-takers from the European and the US East Coast refineries.
Produced from the Utapate field in OML 13 in Akwa Ibom State in Nigeria, the Utapate crude oil blend is similar to the Nembe crude oil grade. It has a low sulphur content of 0.0655% and low carbon footprint due to flare gas elimination, fitting perfectly into the required specification of major buyers in Europe.
The NNPC E&P Ltd and NOSL partnership is also committed to operating in a manner that is safe, environmentally responsible, and beneficial to the local communities.
The Utapate field development plan, executed between 2013-2019 and approved in October, included converting wells and facilities from swamp/marine to land-based operations.
The plan involved a multi-rig drilling campaign for 40 wells and the development of significant infrastructure such as production facilities, storage tank, a subsea pipeline and an offshore loading platform to facilitate crude oil evacuation and loading.
The entry of the Utapate crude oil blend into the market is coming barely a year after the NNPC Ltd announced the launch of Nembe crude oil, produced by the NNPC/Aiteo operated Oil Mining Lease (OML) 29 Joint Venture (JV).
This remarkable achievement signals the commitment of the NNPC Ltd to increasing Nigeria’s crude oil production and growing its reserves through the development of new assets.
Energy
NNPC Ltd Set to Supply 100mmscf/d Gas to Dangote Refinery
…10-year Deal to Boost Local Production, Revamp Industrial Growth, reports Ikenna Oluka
The NNPC Gas Marketing Limited (NGML), a subsidiary of the Nigerian National Petroleum Company (NNPC) Limited, has successfully executed a Gas Sale and Purchase Agreement (GSPA) with Dangote Petroleum Refinery and Petrochemicals FZE.
The agreement, signed by the Managing Director, NGML, Barr. Justin Ezeala and the President/CEO of the Dangote Group, Aliko Dangote on Tuesday at the Corporate Head Office of Dangote in Falomo, Lagos State, outlines the supply of natural gas for power generation and feedstock at the Dangote Refinery, in Ibeju-Lekki, Lagos State.
This major milestone is in line with President Bola Ahmed Tinubu’s policy of utilizing Nigeria’s abundant gas resources towards revamping the nation’s industrial growth and kickstarting its economic prosperity.
This development, which sees a huge investment of this nature penned with zero capital expenditure (CAPEX) outlay, has been described by many as unprecedented in the history of NGML or any gas Local Distribution Company (LDC) in the country.
Under the terms of the agreement, NGML will supply 100 million standard cubic feet per day (MMSCF/D), 50MMSCF/D being firm supply and the rest 50MMSCF/D interruptible natural gas supply to the refinery for an initial period of 10 years, with options for renewal and growth.
This collaboration is a significant step toward ensuring the operational success of the Dangote Refinery and enhancing Nigeria’s domestic gas utilization.
NNPC Ltd, through NGML, its gas marketing subsidiary, continues to lead efforts in promoting the use of domestic gas to support industries and businesses nationwide.
The agreement represents a milestone for both NNPC Ltd and Dangote Refinery, aligning with their shared commitment to boosting local production and providing vital products for the benefit of all Nigerians.
It is also a further proof of NGML’s unwavering commitment to business excellence and fulfilling NNPC Ltd’s core mandate of ensuring Nigeria’s energy security through the execution of strategic gas projects across the country.
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